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Can Obama Really Fix The Economy?

Posted Oct 7th 2008 11:30AM by Paul Shepard
Filed under: Money Talks, Elections, Barack Obama, John McCain, News

Some smart guy said a long time ago there is no such thing as a free lunch. And he was right. In other words, there is always a string attached.

Turning to the complex discussion of taxes, the economy and the major political parties' answers to help black people, the old saying still rings true.

We can lower taxes all we want but to keep the books balanced, we will have to absorb cuts in public services – this is generally the Republican way.

That works fine if you have a great job or if your parents or grandparents left you a nice chunk of change – this also is the generally the Republican way. ...

Financial Industry in Turmoil

    Wells Fargo, JPMorgan Chase, HSBC and other large banks have all reportedly been approached by regulators seeking someone to rescue Washington Mutual, which has been pounded by the slumping housing market and the subprime lending fallout.

    Nick Ut, AP

    Some are also speculating on which firm may be headed the way of Merrill Lynch or Lehman Brothers. Media reports have said that Morgan Stanley is pondering whether to remain independent and that it is in talks with Wachovia about a possible combination.

    Mario Tama, Getty Images

    A trader works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange, Wednesday, after nervous investors yanked their money out of the stock market, sending the Dow down 450 points. The latest market plunge came after a late Tuesday announcement that the government would bail out ailing insurer AIG. "People are scared to death," one investment strategist said.

    Richard Drew, AP

    The AIG bailout marked the second time this month that the government put taxpayer money on the hook to rescue a private financial company. In exchange for a 2-year $85 billion loan from the Federal Reserve, the government will receive a 79.9 percent equity stake in the company.

    Mark Lennihan, AP

    Former Allstate chairman and CEO Edward Liddy, left, is expected to replace AIG's Robert B. Willumstad. Willumstad, a former Citigroup executive, had been at the helm of AIG since June.

    AP (2)

    AIG, whose shares had been on a freefall, had been on the hunt for cash to shore up its balance sheet. The Fed determined that a disorderly failure of AIG could hurt the already delicate financial markets and the economy.

    Richard Drew, AP

    The U.S. government became one of the biggest players in the nation's mortgage market last week when it took control of mortgage finance giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The two financial institutions, battered by plunging share prices, rising foreclosures and sinking home values, owned or guaranteed about half of U.S. mortgage debt.

    AP (2)

    The decision to help AIG marked a reversal for the government from the weekend, when it refused to use taxpayer money to bail out Lehman Brothers. The investment bank was forced to file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection Monday.

    Jin Lee, AP

    For many of Lehman's 26,000 employees, the outlook is likely to be gloomy with job losses expected to be substantial even if significant parts of the business can be sold. On Sunday night hundreds of Lehman employees were seen clearing their desks and packing personal belongings.

    David Karp, AP

    Last week, after posting $3.9 billion in losses, Lehman CEO Richard Fuld outlined a plan to sell and spin off assets to raise money. Fuld, 62, who joined the company right out of college, is the longest serving CEO on Wall Street.

    Kevin Wolf, AP




But what if you, like a disproportionately high percentage of black Americans, don't have a high paying job. Or don't have an inheritance. Or for some reason, can't find work because you are incarcerated or disabled?
It is for this population that the Democratic ideology of building a societal safety net of government programs makes sense.

Just check what the last few years of Bush tax cuts for the wealthy have done to the safety net. Black unemployment has increased since 1993. In addition, the GOP fights every proposal designed to help poor people.

Want to extend unemployment benefits, Republicans will fight it.

Seeking to raise the criminally low minimum wage, get ready for a GOP battle.

Try to expand Pell grants or any other measure to expand educational opportunities, not if the GOP is in control.
You only have to go back a few years to see how smart Democratic policies from the White House brought better economic times for black people.

Under Bill Clinton, job creation expanded and unemployment across all racial and ethnic categories fell.
But Clinton had the foresight to do something that made more liberals howl at the time, he worked to shrink the welfare state.

Most progressives attacked the move as anti-black and anti-poor but Clinton was right. The welfare state had grown too large, too alluring for the lazy among us who had the skills and ability to work for themselves.

The result.

The news media has repeatedly told stories of how black folks who had been dependent on welfare now are earning a living wage working in hotels, managing fast food joints or in some other entry level employment. They might not be jet-setting but they are off the public dole and are actually contributing society.

All these folks needed was a kick in the pants and a helping hand, like the combination of welfare reform and expanded job training opportunities provided during the Clinton years.
With the Republicans, all black people get is the kick in the pants.
__________________
Paul Shepard blogs the Democrat side of the election for BlackVoices. He has been a journalist for 16 years; on the national urban/minority affairs beat for The Cleveland Plain Dealer and for The AP in Washington, D.C.
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Reader Comments

(Page 1)

1. Am I the only one that finds it odd that this gentleman defines the state of the economy by how many black people have a job or are on welfare?

There's no way that Obama's plan can solve the economy issue while simulataneously solve our efforts to help bring democracy to Afghanistan and Iraq (and if things keep going the way they are, we'll be helping more in Darfur, etc).

Debt is a fact of life. You either owe a mrtgage, rent car payment, etc. It's how you acquire the things you need to get along. The goal (individually) is to die with a ton of debt and let your life insurance pay it off. As a country, we help other countries (see Japan and Europe 1945, S. Korea, Indonesia) when they are in need and this contributes to our debt. We make agreements (NAFTA (Clinton), CHina trade (Clinton), that bring prosperity and improve relations with other countries while moving jobs to those countries and adding debt in our own.

So Obama's plan is to punish those in America who have worked hard to achieve and earn more than $250K (I am not one). And give a break to those who earn less? How is that supposed to help? Those people pay more in taxes, they hire less workers. So there are more unemployed, less people to give tax breaks, and more on welfare.

What we need, and I believe JSM plan is consistent, is to renegotiate NAFTA and china trade agreements of Clinton so that they are not so lopsided in favor of Mexico, Canada, China, India, etc. and get those jobs back in the USA. We need to ban the purchase of foreign automobiles regardless of where they're built. (Ever go to Japan and see Ford, Chrysler, Chevy on hte roads? no they drive their own cars, Europe, China, and Korea are the same). So what if they get better gas mileage or last longer, I drive a Ford Freestyle 22MPG, 2 y/o and still runs fine. Get Detroit out of the murder business and back to building our cars.

Obama will be the best president for foreign countries McCain is the best choice for America. If you vote with your heart, vote Obama. If you use your head and understand the facts you will vote for McCain.

J at 9:41AM on Oct 8th 2008

2. In a word, NO! This is a worldwide phoenomenon and frankly, Obama doesn't know diddly squat about finances. If he did he would have stopped the insanity of subprime mortgages years ago. He didn't though, because he was receiving contributions from FNMA and FHLMC. When are you guys going to get it? Obama doesn't give a hoot in hell about you or anyone else. If you continue cheering for Obama simply because he is black you'd better be careful what you wish for, YOU JUST MAY GET IT!

Janice at 11:00AM on Oct 8th 2008

3. No, he can't fix the economy -- that's obvious from the way his cronnies have acted with his approval during the couple of years he's served in the Senate. As for health care, all we need is for the government to insist on reasonable costs and insurance for all that apply -- we don't need a government health plan. When the government gets involved, the public gets screwed -- look at public education, for example. Before Johnson made it a federal department, public education was terrific. No Obama.

MsMHS at 1:32PM on Oct 8th 2008

4. No this problem is way too large for a man with no history of running a company, state, town or village.He is only a junior senator and needs many more years of expierence before he attempts to lead this country.All of the programs he wants to implement will only add billions to our debt. You do not raise taxes on anyone while in a recession.

cindy at 1:34PM on Oct 8th 2008

5. This problem is not one that can be solved by one man. Actually, the congress is the one that should have addressed this quite some time back. Homeownership is a great thing, but we are in the shape we are in because congress forced Fannie Mae to make loans avaiable to people who could not qualify for the loans. Government can't force these businesses to move back to the United States. We should have offered tax breaks before and instead of taxing them more. Now, we have even lost the taxes we were collecting on their payrolls. SO SAD!

Kevin at 2:32PM on Oct 8th 2008

6. I think Obama has as much chance as anybody has to
fix the economy. Sometimes not knowing the ins and
outs of how a game is supposed to be played is an
advantage. NAFTA is a disaster, taxes are outrageous,
and the government and big business bureaucrats are
corrupt as hell. Individuals make this country work,
it's going to take individuals to keep it working, no
political action groups.

Bill at 4:53PM on Oct 8th 2008

7. I beleive Obama can fix the economy, especially if he start cutting out outsorceing,bring all of the big companies back to the USA or stop giving them big taxs break, make sure welefare parentss work at meanful jobs(that mean dads too) Make sure Economics is taught in high schools and encourage more states to open up trade schools. Just talk to some parents who has raised and educated five or more kids we can give him experienced ideas.

Rose at 7:23PM on Oct 8th 2008

8. I thought the question was can oh-bhamma fix the economy? Stupid article

leon at 6:57AM on Oct 9th 2008

9. No he can't fix the problem...he wasn't a successful community organizer so why should he be able to impliment anything in congress? HIs rhetoric is just silly...

The real question....is can Obama fix black people...THis is the only why black folk people are voting for this man...Black folks have never been good at personal economics... How we got caught up in the mortgage and credit card problems...

chrystal at 9:09AM on Oct 9th 2008

10. The question should be who do you trust to handle the ecomomy better Barack or McCain? My answer would be Barack. Grant you we don't live in a perfect world but when you look at where America stands today since the Republicans have been in power I think it is only fair to say that a Democrat would be the better choice. When you talk about America being trillion dollars in debt; it will be very difficult for anyone to correct this situation in two years. I feel that Barack can start by (1) Bring the war in Iraq to an end responsibly which will saved American Taxpayers 10 billion dollars monthly (2) getting foreign countries to lower the gas prices for Americans (3) roll back the taxes for the wealthiest Americans and give back to the middle-class Americans (4) Create additional jobs in American by focusing on alternative fuels for Americans and upgrading our infrastructure (5) Negotiate NAFTA to ensure that goods that are imported are FDA inspected (6) Work on Healthcare, education and social security. As you can see the list is very long but if you have competent, intelligent people in your cabinet; these things can be accomplished. The reasons America is in this situation is because of corporate greed and having incompetent people making decisions that are not very wise. All Americans as well as our children and grand-children will have to make sacrifices to put America back as the great nation that we use to be globally around the world. Obama will not be able to accomplish all of these things in his first term but I believe he can accomplish most of these things with two terms. My advice to all Americans is that if you don't like what you see; please vote to make a change for our future.

diane at 10:43AM on Oct 9th 2008

11. yes,i beleive obama can help fix the economy,but it's
going to take time.he's a very smart and educated man
and i believe when he sets his mind to do something he
gonna do it.i think he's a very remarkable man.not only because he's an african american,but he really cares about helping the american people prosper.especially the young people,because they are our future.i especially like it when he stresses they
get an education,because it's very,very important.i know he will make a great president and leader along
with joe biden.i've been following this election since it started and i'm very,very impressed how he's
handling his self,dealing with all the hatred he's been dealing with.but he never let it bother him or get him down,he just keeps going on.god is truly looking out for him,because i believe if it had of been anyone else,they would haved cracked under the
extreme pressure.i commend brack obama and his wife,for not stooping to mcain and sarah's level.this
is the kind of president we need.someone who can maintain his cool under any kind of pressure.obama and his family and joe and his family are in my prayer everyday.i even keep john mcain and sarah palin in my prayers too.because they truly need prayer,right now god is not happy with them.i think anyone should be able to run for office no matter color of your race,because in god's eyes we are all
created equal.mr mcain and mrs palin need to get down
on their knees and ask the lord for help and forgiveness,for all the lies and hurtful things they
have put obama thru.no one should be treated the way
they have been allowed to treat him,during this campaign.especially for allowing people to shout deragatory things about their opponent.and not say anything about it and keep talking and lying as if it's ok for them to say it.everybody needs to remmember that we are all responsible for our actions
and we need to love one another as the good bible says.john mcain and sarah palin,need to sit down together and read their bible,because the both need "help".mr obama keep your head up and stand tall.because i believe you will be our next "president",you truly deserve it and i know you will make a "great" president.

diane at 3:30PM on Oct 9th 2008

12. Peace,

As the Chief Executive of the government, as president, Sen. Obama would need some very effective advisers, cabinet secretaries, business executives, and congressional legislators who can come up with dynamic and non-partisan programs, oversight, legislation, and regulations to help usher the economy into a productive phase. Unfortunately, we are in the midst of a recession that does not appear to be losing any steam. but instead, is gaining momentum. As to the opinion of President Clintons' dismantling of the welfare system, that was a very subtle move to remove the black community from any type of a social safety net and increase the prison population with newly convicted black felons who were caught trying to use criminal activity to earn money as opposed to working (where are jobs for black workers?) a regular job. What must be considered, is that this country is long overdue for a Correction of Biblical Proportions!!! This includes the political, economic, religious, and educational landscapes. We may not like the disproportionate burden that we, as black americans have to bear, but this correction is absolutely necessary!!! I don't think that Sen. Obama can bring enough political capital to the executive branch to make fundamental changes in the way that the money managers on Wall Street function and transact their multi-trillion dollar activity on a daily basis. The mortagage backed securities derivatives market alone is over $500 Trillion Dollars!!! That is enough money to give every man, woman, and child over $1,000,000 dollars apiece!!! This doesn't even include your commodities, stocks, bonds,and foreign exchange markets. How will an Obama presidency react to this depression and the economic meltdown which is encompassing the whole of the American economy? Good question!!! We need to get to an Obama presidency first, and then we will see for ourselves. I, for one, am not overly optimistic for any black community development in terms of economic impacts like jobs, less crime and better educational opportunities, although the potential is there for these improvements to occur. Will we be better off under an Obama presidency? Probably. What is more important is that we, as black americans, begin to become the masters of our own destinies as opposed to waiting on others to do for us what we can do for ourselves.

foius at 5:01PM on Oct 9th 2008

13. There are only 2 canidates..........One in in direct cause and one is'nt........McCain helped Keating wholeheartly in his shinannagans and as a result rallied ,proposed and pushed for" DEREGULATION " which is the culprit of our crisis ,in saying that with that kind of thinking he won't help.Obama is a man , with help fom God if he wins will do all possible I'm sure ,but 16yrs of being in the BUSHES can't be fixed in not even 8yrs but a solid road to recovery can be expexted.

WESTSIDESOUTH at 1:27PM on Oct 10th 2008

14. A message to the author of the article.
Here's the game, the largest number of welfare recipients are white women (do the numbers buddy).
The largest number of illiterates are white americans.
Amongst minorities, women seek welfare benefits and males are organized into street gangs that primarily support themselves with the sale of narcotics.
The problem is that everyone is out for themselves.
Goverment officials are on the payroll of multunational corporations.
Bank executives are the puppets of the central bank and the rest americans are left to fend for themselves in any way they can.
The damage to the collective conscious of americans is much deeper than you seem to be aware of.
Our never ending financial collapse is due to mistrust of america.
Times have drastically changed since the Clinton days, due to republican irresponsisbility and neglect of it's common citizens.
Let's admit it, most of us had grown totally
dejected about our lives and lost all our faith in ourselves and our goverment.
Obama making it this far in this mire has been nothing short of a miracle.
We're interested, we're hopeful like never before.
Obama is leading now, in a way we can say we're leading now...the american people.
This why I've commented several times, that any non-sense come November and obama is not the obvious winner, there will be anarchy.
The world will devest themselves of us...and that will be the end of the union.
The dream becomes a nightmare!

Martin Zelaya at 2:35PM on Oct 10th 2008

15. Jesse was correct! B.O. talks down to black folk. In fact, he talks down to everyone.

Do the math. Take the national debt, plus the "bailout" he voted for, plus the social security shortage coming in 10 years, plus the increased costs to the federal budget he proposes, health care, etc, where do we find the money coming from?

This "brother" will be the end of affirmative action.

When will we wake up to this socialistic balderash?

A. Nandy

Amos Nandy at 2:51PM on Oct 10th 2008

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