On the eve of the Democratic National Convention, Barack Obama has lost momentum. Polls show the presidential race is a statistical dead heat.
Obama has not announced his vice presidential pick, but the rumored contender is a one-day wonder who will not change the game.
New York Times chief political correspondent Adam Nagourney told the NewsHour's Jim Lehrer:
But what strikes me about this is the fact that he's going to announce it tomorrow at the earliest or Saturday. It's actually, in many ways, evidence that they don't look at the vice presidential choice as that significant to his campaign...And it has more of a feeling of checking the box.
But it would be a very big deal if Hillary Clinton is his running mate. Clinton's name on the ticket would be a game-changer. Sure, she would bring excess baggage but she would also bring excitement – and 18 million votes.
And my guess is, when we look back at this, this will be something they were trying most of all to do no harm. But this is going to be, in the end, a race between John McCain and Barack Obama. And the vice presidential thing is part of it, and I know we're spending tons of time talking about it, but I don't think they look at it as that big a deal for them.
With Election Day a little over 70 days away, the Democratic Party remains divided. NBC News reports:
Yet perhaps the biggest factor keeping the presidential race close has been Obama's inability to close the deal with some of Hillary Clinton's supporters. According to the poll, 52 percent of them say they will vote for Obama, but 21 percent are backing McCain, with an additional 27 percent who are undecided or want to vote for someone else.Clinton's name will be placed in nomination next Wednesday. The state-by-state roll call vote is fraught with risk. With nearly 1900 pledged delegates, the roll call could be cathartic. But it could also be chaotic. Clinton's supporters believe her historic race was given short shrift by the mainstream media. So, they may seize the roll call vote as an opportunity to show that "well-behaved women rarely make history."
Putting Clinton on the ticket could help Obama work his mojo on her backers and unite the Democratic Party.
1.
It's my hope that Barack Obama will recapture the momentum that he appears to have lost heading into the Democratic Party convention.
From a hopeful perspective, I'm wondering if Obama's merely doing some bobbing, weaving, and roping-and-doping with John McCain and the Republicans in that he could very well be waiting until Sept. 1 to launch an all-out, full-court press on McCain when money will be his best weapon with campaign ads that might truly define McCain as NOT the best choice for this country. From what I've seen and read, McCain may not be able to overcome that. Not to mention, McCain and the Republicans may not be able to keep pace with Obama once he starts pressing him with campaign stop after campaign stop.
From a not-so-hopeful perspective, Obama still has yet to connect with certain segments of the population, which I suspect race has a lot to do with it. Nor has he truly shown an SOB side to him that's needed when you're running for president.
Perhaps when it's all said and done, money will prevail and he will effectively get his message across.
SBR
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S.B. Redd at 3:55PM on Aug 22nd 2008